Economic burden of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative treatment in Spain.

Abstract

640 Background: The literature on burden of disease studies of hepatocellular carcinoma is scarce. The aim of this analysis was to quantify the economic burden of disease recurrence in very early or early-stage HCC patients who underwent liver resection, ablation or transplantation in Spain. Methods: A decision-tree model was developed to estimate the cost of a recurrence after curative treatment with an initial complete response of very early or early-stage primary HCC tumor over a 5-year time horizon. Clinical parameters were collected by a multidisciplinary group of experts who also validated the assumptions and results of the analysis. According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) recommendations, patients with recurrent HCC were classified into five HCC stages (0, A, B, C, and D) and allocated to different treatment options. A payer perspective was adopted, so only direct costs (€2024) were considered (local/locoregional treatments costs, drug acquisition and administration costs, adverse events management costs, diagnostic and follow-up costs and end-of-life costs). Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess uncertainty. Results: A total of 1,250 HCC recurrences were estimated in Spain, resulting in a total cost of €32,817,142 in the first year of recurrence management. After 5-years follow-up, an additional €10,1M was estimated, mainly due to patient surveillance (€2,8M) and 228 new recurrences (€5,7M). The average cost of a relapse was €26,253 euros in the first year of recurrence management, rising to €34,342 euros for 5-years follow-up. A hypothetical patient experiencing a second relapse 5 years after their first relapse would incur costs of €58,758. Conclusions: This study is the first in Spain to explore the economic burden of hepatocellular carcinoma. Estimating the cost of recurrence after curative treatment and complete response of a primary HCC tumor is complex and depends on multiple factors, so further studies exploring both efficacy and costs in hepatocellular carcinoma are needed.