Skeletal-related event impact on prostate cancer mortality in the older population in the US: A 24-year trend regression analysis.

Abstract

58 Background: Skeletal-related events (SREs) are a common cause of morbidity and mortality in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). These complications are managed using bone-modifying agents (BMAs), radiation therapy, and surgery, and lead to diminished quality of life irrespective of their castration status. We sought to evaluate the mortality trends for patients with PC and SREs in patients of >65 years from 1999 to 2023 using the CDC WONDER (Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research) database. Methods: The database was searched from January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2023. Mortality trends were assessed by identifying prostate cancer international classification of diseases-10th revision code (ICD-10 code C61) as the underlying cause of death in individuals aged >65 years, and (SREs) as contributing causes using the following ICD-10 codes: S02, S12, S22, S32, S42, S52, S62, S82, S92, T02, T08, T10, T12, T14.2, Y93.2, E55, M80, M81, M84.4. Joinpoint 5.0 software was used to analyze mortality trends. Results: From 1999 to 2023, a total of 3,231 deaths were reported. Trend analysis revealed a decline in overall mortality from 1999 to 2014, with an annual percentage change (APC) of -1.60 (CI: -2.6, -0.5; p = 0.005), followed by a significant increase in mortality from 2015 to 2023, with an APC of 5.30 (p = 0.0001). When stratified by age, individuals aged 65-69 showed an insignificant decline in mortality over the entire study period. For those aged 70-74, mortality significantly decreased from 1999 to 2014 (APC: -3.02, CI: -5.0, -0.9; p = 0.008), but experienced an exponential increase from 2014 to 2023 (APC: 14.07, CI: 8.7, 19.6; p = 0.00005). In the 75-79 age group, mortality significantly decreased from 1999 to 2011 (APC: -5.6, CI: -9.5, -1.6; p = 0.0091), followed by a robust increase from 2011 to 2023 (APC: 7.06, CI: 2.7, 11.5; p = 0.002). For individuals aged >80 years, the trend showed an insignificant decline in mortality from 1999 to 2023 (APC: -0.260, CI: -0.8, 0.3; p = 0.380). Conclusions: Our study revealed significant trends in prostate cancer mortality attributable to SREs, contributing to a sharp increase from 2015 to 2023. Age-stratified analysis revealed that substantial mortality is reported in patients aged 70-79, with the most pronounced rise occurring after 2014. These findings emphasize the growing burden of SREs in older prostate cancer patients, underscoring the need for targeted interventions along with a focus on patient-reported outcomes to improve survival and quality of life.